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We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US … suggest that an increase in the policy rate by 1% is associated with a rise in unemployment and inflation volatility of about … these volatility effects are driven by the coexistence of agents' fears of unemployment and concerns about the (in) ability …
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This article discusses the evolution of dynamic macroeconomic models from calibrated Real Business Cycle models to estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. The purpose is to suggest the usefulness of these models as a tool for policy analysis, with a particular emphasis on...
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volatility. Since exchange rate volatility is not observed, we estimate it alongside the remaining quantities in the model. Our … increase in exchange rate volatility. Historical and forecast error variance decompositions indicate that monetary policy … shocks explain an appreciable amount of exchange rate movements and the corresponding volatility. …
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