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Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910359
inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299143
inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
this policy strategy could have largely prevented the post-pandemic inflation episode. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632303
This study examines whether central banks can combat inflation that is caused by rising energy prices. By using a high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230113
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
inflation, trade flows, capital inflow, capital account transactions, reserve accumulation, global liquidity (e.g., global broad … money), and monetary aggregates, with regard to Indonesia's GDP variables and inflation. This paper uses threshold vector … identified two groups of upper regime and lower regime world variables-namely, world inflation, world GDP, and world commodity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799838
the implications of digitalisation for measurement, productivity, labour markets and inflation, as well as more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626753
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636807
, we study the implications of different inflation regimes on the racial unemployment gap. Higher trend inflation increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014283315