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The policy Trilemma (the ability to accomplish only two policy objectives out of financial integration, exchange rate stability and monetary autonomy) remains a valid macroeconomic framework. The financial globalization during 1990s-2000s reduced the weighted average of exchange rate stability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008908358
This paper examines the relationship between low interests maintained by advanced economy central banks and credit booms in emerging economies. In a model with crossborder banking, low funding rates increase credit supply, but the initial shock is amplified through the risk-taking channel of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064175
We investigate global factors associated with bank capital flows. We formulate a model of the international banking system where global banks interact with local banks. The solution highlights the bank leverage cycle as the determinant of the transmission of financial conditions across borders...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047533
During the 1990s, the increased propensity to save in emerging market economies triggered massive inflows towards safe assets in the United States; a few years later, rising dollar funding by global banks was concurrent to increasing inflows to private-label US securities. While it is well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014117915
We investigate the role of global factors in driving cross-border capital flows. We formulate a model of gross capital flows through the banking sector and derive a closed form solution that highlights the leverage cycle of global banks and its interaction with recipient country characteristics....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109273
The European Central Bank's relationship to the national governments of the monetary union was modeled as a contest between fiscal and monetary dominance early in the euro crisis (Buiter 2010, drawing on Sargent and Wallace 1981). This paper shows how strategic behavior helped to shape the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030634
We examine the role of U.S. monetary policy in global financial stability by using a cross-country database spanning the period from 1870-2010 across 69 countries. U.S. monetary policy tightening increases the probability of banking crises for those countries with direct linkages to the U.S.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181191
We assess monetary convergence preceding the implementation of the European Monetary Union (EMU) through Kalman filtering estimates of the risk premium of eleven forward exchange rates of European and non-European currencies. Since all participating currencies are in effect identical from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639925