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Discretionary monetary policy produces a dynamic loss in the New Keynesian model in the presence of cost-push shocks. The possibility to commit to a specific policy rule can increase welfare. A number of authors since Woodford (1999) have argued in favour of a timeless perspective rule as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604763
This paper aims an empirical investigation of uncertainty in the Euro Zone as well as the US. For this purpose I … conduct a factor analysis of uncertainty measures starting in 2001 until the end of 2011. I use survey-based data provided by … implied volatility of stock market movements. Each measure shows an increase in uncertainty during the last years marked by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009548349
We assess the effects of monetary policy on bank risk to verify the existence of a risk-taking channel - monetary expansions inducing banks to assume more risk. We first present VAR evidence confirming that this channel exists and tends to concentrate on the bank funding side. Then, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226064
incorporation of uncertainty into policy decision-making. The sort of post-crisis uncertainty that central banks are dealing with … this burden of coherence means that fundamental uncertainty must be incorporated explicitly into the policy formulation … management, one consequence of which is to inject a little more realism about uncertainty into the policy narrative, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414864
. I find that when real unit labor cost is used as a monetary policy indicator, the potential output uncertainty has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116556
, ultimate lenders and financial intermediaries. The model is used to investigate the impact of uncertainty about the likelihood … between risk and uncertainty is implemented by applying the Gilboa-Schmeidler (1989) maxmin with multiple priors framework to … analysis include: (i) An unanticipated increase in bailout uncertainty raises interest rates, the volume of defaults in both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122330
.S. economy where the policymaker faces uncertainty about model parameters. Uncertainty about parameters describing preferences … and technology implies not only uncertainty about the dynamics of the economy. It also implies uncertainty about the model … characteristics and performance of alternative monetary policy rules given the estimated uncertainty regarding parameter estimates. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729402
We investigate the possible asymmetric response of inflation expectations to oil price and policy uncertainty shocks …. Unlike other studies that assume symmetric effects, our study finds asymmetric effects of oil price and policy uncertainty on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894241
A series of papers have shown that a monetary regime targeting nominal GDP (NGDP) can reproduce the distribution of risk that would exist if there were widespread use of state-contingent debt securities (Koenig, 2013; Sheedy, 2014; Azariadis et al., 2016, Bullard and DiCecia, 2018). This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897082
In this study I examine the welfare implications of monetary policy by constructing a novel New Keynesian model that properly accounts for asset pricing facts. I find that the Ramsey optimal monetary policy yields an inflation rate above 3.5% and inflation volatility close to 1.5%. The same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014250