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(1) level and risk dynamics. The latter includes (2) tail risk and crisis probability as well as (3) the Volatility …) undercapitalized sectors (8) time-varying risk premia, and (9) the external funding premium are part of the analysis. Financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024265
. We decompose the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility (“uncertainty … monetary policy decreases risk aversion after about five months. Monetary authorities react to periods of high uncertainty by … through which monetary policy may affect risk aversion, e.g., through its effects on broad liquidity measures and credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113166
stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility … (“uncertainty”), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty, with the former effect being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099439
stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility … (“uncertainty”), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty, with the former effect being …. The effect of monetary policy on risk aversion is also apparent in regressions using high frequency data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039100
stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility … ("uncertainty"), we find that a lax monetary policy decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty, with the former effect being …. The effect of monetary policy on risk aversion is also apparent in regressions using high frequency data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080094
aggregate risk and smooth consumption through savings and consumer loans intermediated by banks. The banking friction introduces …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705511
The research work presented below addresses the possible concern of central bank independence through the development and application of econometric models. The complexity of the modelling has allowed a step further in corroborating that financial independence is not only linked to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496228
This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MSVAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443536
What are the economic implications of financial and uncertainty shocks? We show that financial shocks cause a decline in output and goods prices, while uncertainty shocks cause a decline in output and an increase in goods prices. In response to uncertainty shocks, firms increase their markups,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373603
Financial intermediaries issue the majority of liquid securities, and nonfinancial firms have become net savers, holding intermediaries' debt as cash. This paper shows that intermediaries' liquidity creation stimulates growth -- firms hold their debt for unhedgeable investment needs -- but also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968932