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This paper discusses some puzzles in the contemporary macroeconomic scene in India, from the perspective of public finance and economic development. These include a fiscal deficit higher than it was during the 1991 crisis, but without a large current account deficit or rise in inflation or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520530
three policy goals in the trilemma - monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness - we examine how … choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary independence is associated with … lower output volatility while greater exchange rate stability implies greater output volatility, which can be mitigated if a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009158763
external finances affect output volatility through the investment or trade channel depending on the openness of the economies … three policy goals in the trilemma – monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness – in this paper … the three policy choices matter for output volatility and the medium-term level of inflation. Greater monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014045505
policy choices do not matter for per capita economic growth. However, they do matter for output volatility and the medium … levels of IR. Greater financial openness helps reduce real exchange rate volatility. These results indicate that policy … three policy goals in the trilemma — monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness — this paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142882
-varying relationship between openness and growth over time: countries tend to gain in the short-term, immediately following capital account …No empirical evidence has yet emerged for the existence of a robust positive relationship between financial openness … and economic growth. This paper argues that a key reason for the elusive evidence is the presence of a time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639402
growth and output trend. Our main finding is that currency collapses are associated with a permanent output loss relative to … output. More generally, we also find that the likelihood of a positive growth rate in the year of the collapse is over two … times more likely than a contraction, and that positive growth rates in the years that follow such episodes are the norm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640314
considered those that deliver sustainable economic growth, employment and more equitable income distribution. A macroeconomic … high current account deficits, capital flow volatility, large employment losses and instable economic development. This … paper suggests that to reduce the current account deficits and achieve a more sustainable growth, foreign economic policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725164
We explain how the external counterpart of the euro area M3 can be analysed by using the euro area balance of payments (b.o.p.). This is possible because the net external assets of the monetary financial institutions (MFIs) are present in two statistical frameworks that follow similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841808
Since 2009, central banks in the major advanced economies have held interest rates at very low levels to stabilize financial markets and support the recovery of their economies. Based on a Mises-Hayek-BIS view on credit booms and Mises' law of unintended consequences, this paper suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058938
are expansionary to output and credit growth. But contrary to the model predictions and empirical findings of Blanchard et … impact on output and credit growth if the exchange rate is managed, if the domestic capital market is underdeveloped, if the … Blanchard et al. (2015), non-bond inflows have a positive overall impact on output and credit growth despite receiving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934280