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The large and uneven impact of COVID-19 has emphasized the complexity and diversity of the labour market. This complexity implies that traditional headline measures may be inadequate at providing a comprehensive picture of labour market health. We address this concern in two ways. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012695080
Prior to 2020, the Great Recession was the most important macroeconomic shock to the United States economy in generations. Millions lost jobs and homes. At its peak, one in ten workers who wanted a job could not find one. On an annual basis, the economy contracted by more than it had since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012405441
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of thepost-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate astylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during“normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061162
This paper develops a general equilibrium monetary model with performance incentives to study the inflation-unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012711249
Should monetary policy offset the effects of labor supply shocks on inflation and the output gap? Canonical New Keynesian models answer yes. Motivated by weak labor force participation during the pandemic, we reexamine the question by introducing labor force entry and exit in an otherwise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083431
Persistent unemployment after recessions and the policies required to bring it down are the subject of an ongoing … unemployment, requiring the implementation of structural policy reforms. The alternative view is that the slow recovery of the … economy is due to cyclic reasons coming from lack of demand which prevents unemployment from falling quickly. Knowing whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011413609
and matching unemployment. We show that trend growth in itself does not generate a trade-off for the monetary authority …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300631
in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
We evaluate the effects of permanently reducing labour tax rates in the euro area (EA) by simulating a large-scale open economy dynamic general equilibrium model. The model features the EA as a monetary union, split in two regions (Home and the rest of the EA - REA), the US, and the rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792134
between monetary policy, employment, and unemployment. According to the obtained estimates monetary policy shocks invoked … lagged, hump‑shaped reactions of output, employment and unemployment in each of the analysed countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877095