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Philadelphia surveys have a large marginal impact on the nowcast of both inflation variables and real variables and this effect is …
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relevant for explaining future inflation than information embodied in the midpoint. -- Forecast evaluation ; interval data …The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. Federal Reserve publishes the range of members' forecasts for key … macroeconomic variables, but not the distribution of forecasts within this range. To evaluate these projections, previous papers …
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