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inflation and the stabilization of the welfare relevant output gap after a productivity shock hits the economy. When the … standard model is enhanced by real wage rigidities or labor turnover costs, an endogenous short-run inflation-output tradeoff … rigidities. Second, labor turnover costs are the dominant source for the inflation-output tradeoff when both rigidities are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277953
inflation and the stabilization of the welfare relevant output gap after a productivity shock hits the economy. When the … standard model is enhanced by real wage rigidities or labor turnover costs, an endogenous short-run inflation-output tradeoff … rigidities. Second, labor turnover costs are the dominant source for the inflation-output tradeoff when both rigidities are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826554
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
inflation. The model, named the rational-arrangements Phillips curve, identifies a central role for catch-up to price inflation … that has already occurred and a more latent role for rational expectations of future inflation. The reinterpreted Phillips …-neutrality, is consistent with inflation persistence in the aftermath of monetary shocks, informs monetary policymaking in hyper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728533
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
This paper investigates the importance of labor market institutions for inflation and unemployment dynamics. Using the … and their interaction is crucial for the dynamics of inflation and unemployment. We estimate a panel VAR with … deterministically varying coefficients and find that there is a profound difference in the responses of unemployment and inflation to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144855
Recession: a decline in productivity growth, the relative stability of inflation despite a pronounced fall in output (the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269664
the implications of digitalisation for measurement, productivity, labour markets and inflation, as well as more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626753
In a new Keynesian model with random search in the labor market, endogenous selection among heterogeneous workers amplifies fluctuations in unemployment and results in excess unemployment volatility relative to the efficient allocation. Recessions disproportionately affect lowproductivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012318150
We investigate both theoretically and empirically how unemployment level and its growth affect future stock returns. We find that both a higher unemployment rate and higher growth of unemployment positively predict future stock market returns. In our model, the effects come through their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352081