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"Big G" typically refers to aggregate government spending on a homogeneous good. In this paper, we open up this construct by analyzing the entire universe of procurement contracts of the US government and establish five facts. First, government spending is granular, that is, it is concentrated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206057
The world economy was slowing prior to the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic. The slowdown began after a record-long period of expansion marked with record lows in unemployment and strong economic indicators along most dimensions. Even at a high point of the business cycle, however, “depression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824099
This paper assesses the transmission of fiscal policy shocks in a New Keynesian framework where government expenditures contribute to aggregate production. It is shown that even if the impact of government expenditures on production is small, this assumption helps to reconcile the models'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343264
We study the incidence and severity of lower-bound episodes and the efficacy of three types of state-dependent policies—forward guidance about the future path of interest rates, large-scale asset purchases and spending-based fiscal stimulus—in ameliorating the adverse consequences stemming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844862
Conventional wisdom suggests that the government spending multiplier is larger when the central bank raises nominal interest rates less than one for one to inflation. However, models supporting this consensus estimate multipliers while holding the monetary policy rule constant after a government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241858
In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non-Ricardian households is in general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318358
Implementation lags are one of policymakers' concerns about fiscal policies, as these may reduce their efficacy. Using a standard New Keynesian model with an effective lower bound on the nominal interest rate, we compare the impacts of fiscal stimulus on output across various lengths of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013449404
This paper employs the DSGE model with rich fiscal block to examine the asymmetries in the transmission and effectiveness of the government expenditure shock across the active fiscal and passive monetary policy (AFPM) regime and the active monetary and passive fiscal policy (AMPF) regime in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349396
fundamental break with the region's history of boom-bust cycles. The paper traces how this history of macroeconomic volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012779706
How does the need to preserve government debt sustainability affect the optimal monetary and fiscal policy response to a liquidity trap? To provide an answer, we employ a small stochastic New Keynesian model with a zero bound on nominal interest rates and characterize optimal time-consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010400894