This paper analyses the accuracy of professional forecasts of monetary policy interest rate decisions in South Africa since 2008. This is achieved by examining the dissimilarity between the professional forecasts of monetary policy stance and the realised monetary policy interest rate on the...

In this paper we incorporate the term structure of interest rates in a standard inflation forecast targeting framework. We find that under flexible inflation targeting and uncertainty in the degree of persistence in the economy, allowing for active learning possibilities has effects on the...