Showing 1 - 10 of 5,466
We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the … Phillips-curve framework of low - often extremely low - response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014423725
This paper discusses various concepts of unemployment rate benchmarks that are frequently used by policymakers for … particular, we propose two broad categories of unemployment rate benchmarks: (1) a longer-run unemployment rate expected to … prevail after adjusting to business cycle shocks and (2) a stable-price unemployment rate tied to inflationary pressures. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389411
labor market and skill obsolescence from long-term unemployment. The model can account for key features of the Great … Recession: a decline in productivity growth, the relative stability of inflation despite a pronounced fall in output (the … aggregate demand raises unemployment and the training costs associated with skill obsolescence. Lower employment hinders …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269664
in their unemployment rate and not a decline in labour force participation rate. Policymakers should take account of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
paper is threefold: first, we show that the model provides a good fit for employment and unemployment volatility, as well as … volatility of employment and unemployment. Finally, we show the role of search costs in shaping those results. -- matching …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009157609
We incorporate a participation decision in a standard New Keynesian model with matching frictions and show that treating the labor force as constant leads to incorrect evaluation of alternative policies. We also show that the presence of a participation margin mitigates the Shimer critique.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010254334
below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936771
We explore two issues triggered by the crisis. First, in most advanced countries, output remains far below the pre-recession … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
This paper investigates the importance of labor market institutions for inflation and unemployment dynamics. Using the … Unemployment Rigidities (UR) and those that cause Real Wage Rigidities (RWR). The two types of institutions have opposite effects … and their interaction is crucial for the dynamics of inflation and unemployment. We estimate a panel VAR with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144855
In this paper, we provide compelling evidence that cyclical factors account for the bulk of thepost-2007 decline in the U.S. labor force participation rate. We then proceed to formulate astylized New Keynesian model in which labor force participation is essentially acyclical during“normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061162