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A key challenge for macroeconomic policy in open economies is how to simultaneously manage exchange rates, interest rates and capital account openness - the trilemma. This paper calculates a trilemma index for India and investigates its evolution over time. We find that financial integration has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008698332
This paper analyzes the impact of large-scale, unconventional asset purchases by advanced country central banks on emerging market economies (EMEs) during 2008–2014. I show that there was substantial heterogeneity in the way EME currency, equity, and long-term sovereign bond markets were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300668
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118459
The past two decades have witnessed a worldwide move by emerging markets to adopt explicit or implicit inflation targeting regimes. A notable and often discussed exception to this trend, of course, is China which follows pegged exchange rate regime supported by capital controls. Another major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086517
Understanding the changing role of central banks and the novel policies they have pursued recently is absolutely essential for analysing many economic, financial and political issues, ranging from financial regulation and crisis, to exchange rate dynamics and regime changes, and QE and prolonged...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927367
We present evidence of significant bias in event studies that investigate the effect of U.S. monetary policy on U.S. stock prices. To overcome this bias, we propose a new identification method based on the "Impossible Trinity" theory which argues that an economy with a fixed exchange rate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075805
We examine the economic consequences of an interest-bearing design of the Central-Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), and extend the discussion to an open-economy context with trade and capital flows. We use a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to simulate a baseline scenario with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833531
We develop a factor-augmented vector autoregression model to estimate the effects of changes in U.S. monetary policy and economic policy uncertainty have on the Chinese housing, equity and loan markets. We find that the decline in the U.S. policy rate since the Great Recession has led to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937693
In most countries, the central bank is required to hold reserve assets as a means of providing credibility for the value of the fiat currency. These assets can be in the form of gold, foreign exchange, or some other internationally recognised reserve asset and are held to permit the country to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992929
The credit risk exposure of the German banking system is growing again after the 2009 peak and its subsequent reduction. This column comments it through the lens of the Target2 net balances in connection with the capital flows experienced by the Eurozone (EZ) balance of payments. Several aspects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047170