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The paper explores the macroeconomic consequences of fiscal consolidations whose timing and composition - either tax- or spending-based - are uncertain. We find that the composition of the fiscal consolidation, its duration, the monetary policy stance, the level of government debt, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781108
An n-variable structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) can be identified (up to shock order) from the evolution of the residual covariance across time if the structural shocks exhibit heteroskedasticity (Rigobon (2003), Sentana and Fiorentini (2001)). However, the path of residual covariances is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926201
We use Bayesian prior and posterior analysis of a monetary DSGE model, extended to include fiscal details and two distinct monetary-fiscal policy regimes, to quantify government spending multipliers in U.S. data. The combination of model specification, observable data, and relatively diffuse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018514
This paper demonstrates how adding nominal wage rigidity to a standard sticky price model can create a mechanism by which increases in government spending cause increases in consumption. The increase in output arising from government purchases puts upward pressure on the price level. At a fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210473
Implementation lags are one of policymakers' concerns about fiscal policies, as these may reduce their efficacy. Using a standard New Keynesian model with an effective lower bound on the nominal interest rate, we compare the impacts of fiscal stimulus on output across various lengths of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013449404
cumulative fiscal multiplier. When monetary policy is exogenous, like at the ZLB or in a currency union, fiscal stimuli become …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014150178
multiplier of fiscal expansion is found to be significantly dampened by tighter financial conditions in case households are less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241104
employment, (iii) a fiscal 'austerity' rule that links fiscal parameters to deviations from a target debt ratio fails to adjust … combination of fiscal and monetary policy rules which separately would stabilize the system, and (v) austerity rules can in some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011522169
worth about 2% of consumption. Austerity programs should be sudden instead of gradual, and focus on lowering revenue to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137093
We provide a systematic analysis of fiscal consolidation in a medium-scale dynamic general equilibrium model. Our results show that the choice of the consolidation instrument is very important, not only with respect to the short- and long-run output effects of the different consolidation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416675