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impact on GDP growth. Salience of rare disasters through media coverage increases the disaster probability by up to 7 …. Respondents perceive a high probability of costly, rare disasters in the near future due to climate change, but not much of an … percentage points. We analyze these findings through the lens of a New Keynesian model with rare disasters. First, we illustrate …
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Notwithstanding the Ukrainian banking system's resilience under war, there are devaluation and inflation pressures. In … fundamental changes in monetary policy since the beginning of the full-scale war. The findings demonstrate a shift from the policy … that under the war, the NBU's monetary policy is effective in limiting devaluation processes due to the timely introduction …
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This paper identifies and documents the properties of output gap recessions and recoveries in the Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan (MENAP) during the 1980 to 2008 period. It goes on to investigate the key determinants of the recoveries. The duration of MENAP countries’ recessions and...
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We empirically examine U.S. monetary policy spillovers to the Middle East and Central Asia (ME & CA) region by decomposing U.S. interest rates changes into two orthogonal shocks: the pure monetary policy shock and the information news shock. Using a sample of 16 ME & CA countries, we find that...
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identifying exogenous and unexpected fiscal shocks under the narrative approach: natural disasters and the associated government … emergency spending in the wake of such disasters. Our results suggest that when government spending increases, the responses of …
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