Showing 1 - 10 of 22,961
played by human beings. In line with theory, the experiment does not allow the formulation of a clear preference in favor of … all participants but with ambiguity (partial transparency). We show that, in theory, both communication strategies are … reducing the degree of transparency. We run a laboratory experiment to test whether theoretical predictions hold in a game …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112720
infinite-horizon learning, and subjective expectations with Euler-equation learning. Under rational expectations, the model … necessitates of large, possibly unrealistically so, degrees of myopia. The same result persists under infinite-horizon learning …, given that agents are still remarkably far-sighted. But, under Euler-equation learning, the model can fit the data with only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012509319
infinite-horizon learning, and subjective expectations with Euler-equation learning. Under rational expectations, the model … necessitates of large, possibly unrealistically so, degrees of myopia. The same result persists under infinite-horizon learning …, given that agents are still remarkably farsighted. But, under Euler-equation learning, the model can fit the data with only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229788
Although it is generally accepted that consumer confidence measures are informative signals about the state of the economy, theoretical macroeconomic models designed for the analysis of monetary policy typically do not provide a role for them. I develop a framework with asymmetric information in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269096
Followers of law, politics and business commonly relate stories of individuals who appear to predict an expected self-performance level below what they believe likely. Candidates, attorneys and firms sometimes seem to under-predict their own capacities. Insofar as individuals typically construct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047090
We introduce Behavioral Learning Equilibria (BLE) into a multivariate linear framework and apply it to New Keynesian … Rational Expectations (REE), BLE, and constant gain learning models shows that the BLE model outperforms the REE benchmark and … is competitive with constant gain learning models in terms of in-sample and outof-sample fitness. Sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014496533
We study the impact of adaptive learning for the design of a robust monetary policy using a small open-economy New … with model misspecification. Learning induces an intertemporal trade-off for the central bank, i.e., stabilizing inflation … possibility to conduct robust monetary policy is limited in a small open economy under learning for any exchange rate pass …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292350
information is subject to multipliereffects inherent to social learning. We build upon the static case, where all agents receive a … dissemination of public information is thus considerably lower than the static case suggests. If the social learning signal is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349468
information is subject to multiplier effects inherent to social learning. We build upon the static case, where all agents receive … dissemination of public information is thus considerably lower than the static case suggests. If the social learning signal is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373562
test the opposing theoretical predictions in a learning-to-forecast experiment. In line with the behavioral model, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904139