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Monetary policy and currency returns : the foresight saga
Borisenko, Dmitrij; Pozdeev, Igor - 2017 - This draft: May 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688222
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Essays on FX variance risk premium, monetary policy and currency returns
Pozdeev, Igor - 2020
overnight index swap (OIS) rates to forecast the path of future monetary policy. We first document no significant risk premium … embedded in swap rates for maturities up to one year, which enables them to be unbiased predictors of future OIS underlying … meetings around the world. In the US the OIS-implied forecasts outperform the federal funds futures-implied ones, and we report …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214090
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Is implied Taylor rule interest rate applicable as a carry trade strategy?
Ogruk, Gokcen - In: International journal of economics and financial issues … 4 (2014) 4, pp. 909-919
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528496
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Taxonomy of global risk, uncertainty, and volatility measures
Datta, Deepa Dhume; Londono, Juan M.; Sun, Bo; Beltran, … - 2017
A large number of measures for monitoring risk and uncertainty surrounding macroeconomic and financial outcomes have been proposed in the literature, and these measures are frequently used by market participants, policy makers, and researchers in their analyses. However, risk and uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780277
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Spekulation, Preisbildung und Volatilität auf Finanz- und Devisenmärkten
Alexander, Volbert; Kugler, Peter; Streissler, Erich; … - Verein für Socialpolitik / Ausschuss für Geldtheorie … - 1998
werden die Auswirkungen einer Geldpolitik analysiert, die auf Veränderungen der Zinsstruktur reagiert und "leaning against … von J. Wolters analysiert die Renditestruktur am deutschen Kapitalmarkt. Gemäß der Erwartungshypothese der Zinsstruktur … Spreads festgestellt werden. Dies bedeutet, daß die Zinsstruktur nicht nur von einem, sondern von zwei gemeinsamen Faktoren …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401983
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Spekulation, Preisbildung und Volatilität auf Finanz- und Devisenmärkten
Alexander, Volbert (contributor); Baltensperger, Ernst (ed.) - 1998
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013280903
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Measuring market expectations
Baumeister, Christiane - 2021
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
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Mind the (convergence) gap : bond predictability strikes back!
Berardi, Andrea; Markovich, Michael; Plazzi, Alberto; … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 67 (2021) 12, pp. 7888-7911
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815790
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Monetary policy and currency variance risk premia
Dossani, Asad - In: Research in international business and finance 69 (2024), pp. 1-21
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015052820
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Mind the (convergence) gap: bond predictability strikes back!
Berardi, Andrea; Markovich, Michael; Plazzi, Alberto; … - 2019 - This version: August 29, 2019
We show that the difference between the natural rate of interest and the current level of monetary policy stance, which we label Convergence Gap (CG), contains information that is valuable for bond predictability. Adding CG in forecasting regressions of bond excess returns significantly raises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134247