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How do policy communications on future f iscal targets af fect market expectations and beliefs about the future conduct of f iscal policy? In this paper, we develop indicators of f iscal credibility that quantify the degree to which policy announcements anchor expectations, based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295113
I study the spill-over effects of legislated discretionary tax changes in the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom to 11 Eurozone countries for the period 1980Q1-2018Q4 employing Local Projections (Jordà, 2005). In general, I find spillovers from US tax legislation to have the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649097
We study the announcement effect of legislated tax changes on GDP in the US, Germany, and the UK. Using, as the shock of interest, narratively identified information (Romer & Romer, 2009) about future tax changes at the quarter of their introduction to the legislative body, we analyse the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649099
Malaysia has sustained over four decades of rapid, inclusive growth, reducing its dependence on agriculture and commodity exports to become a more diversified, modern and open economy. GDP per capita is now higher than in a number of OECD economies, while poverty and income inequality have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700166
This paper discusses the dynamic response of employment, average hours and real wages to monetary, government spending and net taxes shocks in the UK for the 1970 Q1-2003 Q1 period. The response of labour market variables to a monetary policy shock are in line with economic theory and previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014065323
We investigate the effects of UK monetary policy from 1974-2001 using a structural vector autoregression with quarterly data. We adapt Uhlig's (2001) sign restriction identification methodology and show that shocks which can reasonably be described as monetary policy shocks have played a very...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014105779
This paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending shocks and the fiscal transmission mechanism in the euro area for the period 1980-2008. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we investigate changes in the macroeconomic impact of government spending shocks using time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640321
We analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. To allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the US, we use a standard structural VAR framework, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640446
The monetary integration of the acceding countries will proceed in several distinct steps, starting with membership in the European Union (EU), followed by participation in the so-called Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) II and ultimately entry into the euro area. This paper addresses the question...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604710
Dieser Artikel beschäftigt sich mit den Unterschieden zwischen Geld- und Fiskalpolitik, die für die unterschiedliche institutionelle Ausgestaltung dieser beiden Bereiche der Wirtschaftspolitik in der Europäischen Union verantwortlich sind. Während die Geldpolitik politisch unabhängig auf...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297481