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, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
the implications of digitalisation for measurement, productivity, labour markets and inflation, as well as more recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626753
and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … study has validated the reliability and accuracy of the linear and lagged relationships between inflation, unemployment, and … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075493
application of mandatory lockdowns contributed to a sharp fall in production and a rise in unemployment, inducing an expansionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013541792
application of mandatory lockdowns contributed to a sharp fall in production and a rise in unemployment, inducing an expansionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455597
revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general …-to-specific testing strategy reveals a recursive structure where only the unemployment rate and long-term interest rates are directly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774367
, unemployment is systematically decreasing, the financial sector is more eager to lend, and its clients - to borrow. Rapidly growing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852813
alternative monetary rules on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We use the inflation forecasts of 8 competing …This paper explores the role that inflation forecasts play in the uncertainty surrounding the estimated effects of … relative to the different inflation models under two rules. The results suggest that model uncertainty can be a serious issue …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777870
This paper integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price rigidities. The … matching frictions and bargaining over real wages and hours of work. Search frictions generate unemployment in equilibrium … for inflation dynamics: under right-to-manage, the real wage rigidity also results in smaller fluctuations of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069816
Recently, the unemployment gap in the euro area has fallen markedly. However, wages increased less than predicted by … alternative measures for labor market slack, namely the unemployment gap and the European Commission's labor shortage indicator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925564