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This paper looks at the implications of heterogeneous beliefs for inflation dynamics. Following a monetary policy shock …, inflation peaks after output, is inertial, and can be characterized by a Hybrid Phillips Curve. It presents a novel channel … through which systematic monetary policy can affect the degree of inflation persistence. It does so by altering the effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230345
Forward guidance operates via the expectations formation process of the agents in the economy. In standard quantitative macroeconomic models, the expectations are unobserved state variables and little scrutiny is devoted to analysing the dynamic behaviour of these expectations. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241110
Standard sticky information pricing models successfully capture the sluggish movement of aggregate prices in response to monetary policy shocks but fail at matching the magnitude and frequency of price changes at the micro level. This paper shows that in a setting where firms choose when to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010423806
also tracks down the source of differences in the sustainability of Ramsey inflation encountered in the analyses of Sims …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032846
causes untracked supply shocks to drive inflation. Because persistent supply shocks have a minor impact on interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212522
permanent lower inflation rather than how this is practically accomplished. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343893
stabilizing inflation and reducing inefficient fluctuations, which is resolved by using consumer price inflation as a state … might improve upon a strict inflation targeting. -- Product market frictions ; oligopolistic competition ; optimal monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003878213
This brief examines two issues of current interest concerning inflation: (1) whether "well-anchored" expectations will … help to restrain inflation's decline and whether an "un-anchoring" of expectations could lead to undesirably high inflation … and (2) to what extent output (or utilization) gaps are useful components of empirical models of inflation and, if they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141451
Why is it that inflation is persistently high in some periods and persistently low in other periods? We argue that lack … inflation lead the public to take defensive actions which then make it optimal for the monetary authority to validate those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014114642
inflation and the output gap by at least two-thirds. These stabilization benefits can be substantially smaller if expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257948