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We argue that the traditional question 'fixed vs. flexible exchange rates?' is not well-defined, because 'flexible exchange rates' does not explicitly specify any particular monetary policy. In traditional analyses, 'flexible exchange rates' was interpreted as implying a fixed money supply. But...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014154064
Central banks with an exchange rate objective set the interest rate in response to what they call "pressure." Instead, existing interest rate rules rely on the exchange rate minus its target. To stay closer to actual policy, we introduce a rule that uses exchange market pressure (EMP), the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479735
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012109971
The majority of households across emerging market economies are excluded from the financial markets and cannot smooth consumption. I analyze the implications of this for optimal monetary policy and the corresponding choice of domestic versus external nominal anchor in a small open economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011487396
Before the crisis of 1997-98, the East Asian economies except for Japan but including China pegged their currencies to the U.S. dollar. To avoid further turmoil, the IMF now argues that these currencies should float more freely. However, our econometric estimations show that the dollar's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729302
bank: central bank equity cannot turn negative without any political and credibility risk, and central banks should avoid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889852
, such as the ERM, this policy was not undermined by credibility problems. The episode provides an ideal testing ground for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440947
This paper makes three contributions to the supply-side theory of the real effects of exchange-rate-based disinflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014168988
The authors investigate an international monetary business-cycle model in which agents face monetary policy processes that incorporate regime shifts. In any given period agents cannot directly observe the policy regime, but instead form beliefs that are updated via Bayesian learning. As a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014189321
influence on inflation persistence by its credibility and responses in the face of inflationary shocks. In this study, we use a … regimes. Further, we show that credibility of the monetary regime significantly influences inflation persistence observed … under the regime, such that higher (lower) regime credibility leads to lower (higher) inflation persistence. Finally, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218240