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Since the Great Recession, the main evolution in monetary policy has been its attempts to affect the medium and the long-term interest rates with instruments other than the policy rate. Consequently, measuring the stance of monetary policy by a single interest rate becomes problematic. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160681
This paper investigates how the ordering of variables affects properties of the time-varying covariance matrix in the Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model.It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are imposed whenthe ratio of volatilities is time-varying....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250452
This paper investigates how the ordering of variables affects properties of the time-varying covariance matrix in the Cholesky multivariate stochastic volatility model. It establishes that systematically different dynamic restrictions are imposed when the ratio of volatilities is time-varying....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012424283
This paper studies regime dependence in macroeconomic dynamics in the U.S. using a threshold vector autoregressive model in which endogenous regime switches are triggered by the inflation rate. The model separates a high from a low inflation regime with both regimes being strongly persistent....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950614
Dynamic factor models and external instrument identification are two recent advances in the empirical macroeconomic literature. This paper combines the two approaches in order to study the effects of monetary policy shocks. I use this novel framework to re-examine the effects found by Forni and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315462
Local Projections (LP) is a popular methodology for the estimation of Impulse Responses (IR). Compared to the … traditional VAR approach, LP allow for more flexible IR estimation by imposing weaker assumptions on the dynamics of the data. The … this work we propose an IR estimation methodology based on B-spline smoothing called Smooth Local Projections (SLP). The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934986
financial shocks generate effects on the economy that increase more than proportionately in the size of the shock when the shock … is negative, but not when the shock is positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291067
level clearly. A positive information shock which also induces increases in interest rate is perceived by private agents as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304714
We disentangle the effects of monetary policy announcements on real economic variables into an interest rate shock … component and a central bank information shock component. We identify both components using changes in interest rate futures and … that a contractionary interest rate shock appreciates the dollar, increases the excess bond premium, and leads to a decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301353
We study how shocks to corporate leverage alter the macroeconomic transmission of monetary policy. We identify leverage shocks as idiosyncratic firm-level disturbances that are aggregated up to a size-weighted country-level average to generate a Granular Instrumental Variable (Gabaix and Koijen,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484385