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This paper explores time series momentum in fixed income securities. Almost all countries in our large sample of 28 advanced and emerging markets have statistically significant positive time series momentum strategy returns. Shorter maturity fixed income securities have greater momentum returns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840944
Dynamic economic models make predictions about impulse responses that characterize how macroeconomic processes respond to alternative shocks over different horizons. From the perspective of asset pricing, impulse responses quantify the exposure of macroeconomic processes and other cash flows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024262
nonlinear external habits can rationalize the evidence, and it implies that the competitive volatility of consumption is … volatility (a targeting of risk premia) rather than on filling the gap between consumption and its flexible-price counterpart …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897549
break-even inflation rates when market volatility is high. Our model’s ability to be updated weekly makes it suitable for … real-time monetary policy analysis. -- Affine term structure models ; inflation expectations ; stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003812556
the central bank should prioritize removing consumption volatility (a targeting of risk premia) over filling the gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213978
monetary shocks become less likely to experience increases in stock volatility. These acquirers also experience smaller …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289863
The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy … stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039100
. If volatility fluctuations are ignored by policy, interest rates are set at a suboptimal level. The extent of ‘policy …-forming preferences raise risk aversion, increasing the importance of the precautionary savings channel through which volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118950
The VIX, the stock market option-based implied volatility, strongly co-moves with measures of the monetary policy … stance. When decomposing the VIX into two components, a proxy for risk aversion and expected stock market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099439
addition, our model suggests that optimal monetary policy is not concerned with stock price volatility, does not attempt to …, producing lower inflation volatility when compared to the constant money supply policy rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091822