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(and rally) discrete jump distributions associated with positive (and negative) bubbles. The RE condition implies that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899594
We combine both a mathematical analysis of financial bubbles and a statistical procedure for determining when a given … of financial bubbles. We find that it follows a generalized gamma distribution, and we provide estimates for its … parameters. We also perform goodness of fit tests, and we provide a derivation, within the context of bubbles, that explains why …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004562
uncertainty. Positive/negative bubbles arise when prior public beliefs about the aggregate productivity of producers (business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081636
The search for a market design that ensures stable bank funding is at the top of regulators' policy agenda. This paper empirically shows that the central counterparty (CCP)-based euro interbank repo market features this stability. Using a unique and comprehensive data set, we show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010410308
In this paper we empirically analyze the determinants of bank default risk (measured by the banks' CDS spreads) for European banks during the period 2008-2018. We examine the effect of (1) bank business model characteristics, (2) sovereign default risk and (3) ECB monetary policy. We disentangle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834126
We provide empirical evidence of the causal effects of changes in financial intermediaries' net worth on the aggregate economy. Our strategy identifies financial shocks as high-frequency changes in the market value of intermediaries' net worth in a narrow window around their earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252981
The failure of Lehman Brothers highlighted the severe lapses in risk management and regulatory oversight that brought on and intensified the global financial crisis. This paper presents a structural credit risk model that provides useful early warning signals that regulators could have used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035485
This paper studies optimal financial policy in a world where the financial sector can become excessively optimistic. I decompose the welfare effects of bank capital regulation to demonstrate the effects of exuberance and its interaction with incentive problems in banking. The optimal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012178343
asset pricing in line with rational bubbles. We show that the response of the excessive stock price component to a monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526074
of restrictive monetary policy shocks coincides with the phase of the business cycle in which bubbles arise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855577