We extend the work done in our “Redux” paper from Oct 2011 to find a weighted composite U.S coincident economic index (CEI) that includes non-zero weightings from all 50 states and when used in a standard Probit model, produces a perfect correlation (R2 of 1) to NBER recession dating. We...

The main focus of the present paper is to analyze the impacts of financial policy on inflation rates. The analysis depended on time series data and was divided into theoretical and applied analytical framework. An econometric model was utilized to reflect the relations between financial policy...

Many observers argue that the world has changed after the latest financial crisis. If that is the case, monetary policy and the process informing it will have to be reconsidered and 'learned' anew by all stakeholders. Perhaps, a new Taylor rule will emerge. A 'Taylor rule' is predicated upon two...

This paper examines the causal relationship between financial openness and financial stability in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) from 1993 to 2011. We use two indicators of financial openness: the de jure financial openness and the de facto financial openness. We propose a...

Olonite 2/3.5 Rule (O2/3.5R) is a selection rule employed to reduce the stress of researchers who are to sample a large population while maintaining the optimal selection from the large population. Using a three sampling/selection techniques, the result showed that the Olonite 2/3.5 Rule gives a...

This paper applies data science techniques, specifically natural language processing algorithms, to a corpus comprised of the Bank of England’s MPC minutes. Whilst acknowledging that there is a considerable amount of fuzziness surrounding the use of such techniques, there is some evidence to...

This paper studies the relative pricing of euro area sovereign CDS and the underlying government bonds. Our sample comprises weekly CDS and bond spreads of ten euro area countries for the period from January 2006 to June 2010. We first compare the determinants of CDS spreads and bond spreads and...

The paper constructs financial-account stock data for Denmark 1875-2005 on an annual frequency and explores the historical monetary and financial trends and cycles on the basis of the new data set. The annual financial-account data constructed in the paper are based on a comprehensive range of...