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The response of stock market volatility to futures-based measures of monetary policy shocks
Gospodinov, Nikolaj; Jamali, Ibrahim - 2014
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
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Inflation risk premia, yield volatility and macro factors
Berardi, Andrea; Plazzi, Alberto - 2018
We incorporate a latent stochastic volatility factor and macroeconomic expectations in an affine model for the term … and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey forecasts of GDP growth and inflation. We find relatively stable inflation … risk premia averaging at 40bps at the long-end, and which are strongly related to the volatility factor and conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877284
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Real-Time Learning, Macroeconomic Uncertainty, and the Variance Risk Premium
Bianchi, Daniele - 2015
upward movements in realized market return volatility. Common wisdom connects these spikes with elevated uncertainty on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034741
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The effect of the term auction facility on the London inter-bank offered rate
McAndrews, James Joseph (contributor);  … - 2008
This paper examines the effects of the Federal Reserve’s Term Auction Facility (TAF) on the London Inter-Bank Offered Rate (LIBOR). The particular question investigated is whether the announcements and operations of the TAF are associated with downward shifts of the LIBOR; such an association...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781580
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Monetary policy and bond risk premia in the US and the UK
Żurowski, Wojciech - 2016
I filter expected inflation, unemployment and log GDP Hodrick-Prescott filtered series in order to extrapolate different frequencies of shocks. These shocks are then regressed on contemporaneous yields to assess the impact of monetary policy ingredients on the current state of the economy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870652
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Monetary Policy Surprises and their Transmission Through Term Premia and Expected Interest Rates
Kaminska, Iryna; Mumtaz, Haroon; Sustek, Roman - 2021
Monetary policy moves the yield curve. How much is due to expected interest rates versus term premia? And what are the macroeconomic consequences? Applying an affine term structure model to high-frequency yield curve movements around FOMC announcements, we shed new light on these questions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243014
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Monetary policy surprises and their transmission through term premia and expected interest rates
Kaminska, Iryna; Mumtaz, Haroon; Šustek, Roman - 2020
Monetary policy moves the yield curve. How much is due to expected interest rates vs. term premia? And does it matter for macroeconomic outcomes? Using an affine term structure model, we shed new light on these questions. Estimation is subject to restrictions addressing an estimation bias in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316011
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Monetary Policy Transmission During QE Times : Role of Expectations and Term Premia Channels
Kaminska, Iryna; Mumtaz, Haroon - 2022
This paper studies monetary policy transmission mechanisms during QE. Using high frequency yield curve event studies of monetary policy announcements in combination with a dynamic term structure model, we can identify four types of monetary policy surprises: action, signalling (working through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405689
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The Response of Stock Market Volatility to Futures-Based Measures of Monetary Policy Shocks
Gospodinov, Nikolay - 2015
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026088
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What option prices tell us about the ECB's unconventional monetary policies
Olijslagers, Stan; Petersen, Annelie; Vette, Nander de; … - 2018
We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB measures of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940034