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This paper examines whether the negative association between aggregate earnings and returns is explained by the monetary policy news in aggregate earnings. Using Federal funds futures data to construct a measure of policy news, we find that aggregate earnings convey information about the Fed's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007360
Asset-pricing facts on FOMC announcements have changed strikingly in the last decade. The pre-announcement drift has disappeared, and other known facts - the announcement premium and a stronger CAPM - now concentrate on a subset of announcements. We propose these distinct patterns correspond to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254324
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Using a GARCH model, we study the effects of Canadian and U.S. central bank communication and macroeconomic news on Canadian bond, stock, and foreign exchange market returns and volatility. First, news in both categories and from both countries has an impact on all financial markets. Canadian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003849833
The goal of this paper is to investigate what type of information from Bank of Canada communication statements or the market commentary based on these statements has a significant effect on the volatility or level of returns in a short-term interest rate market. Two different text mining methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009504648
We find that information communicated through monetary policy statements has important business cycle dependent implications for stock prices. For example, during periods of economic expansion, stocks tend to respond negatively to announcements of higher rates ahead. In recessions, however, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105517
To examine the Eurozone stock market reactions to European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy announcement surprises, we study the effect of unexpected changes in the ECB's main refinancing rate on aggregate and sectorial Eurozone equity returns. We also analyse the results according to varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093483
The monetary policy shocks have been widely regarded to have effects on the financial markets. Before the 2008 financial crisis, the Federal Reserve adjusted the federal funds target rate to implement the monetary policy. This paper uses event studies to examine the relationship between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952189
We investigate the impact of monetary policy announcements on stock market volatility in the U.S., Canada, Japan, the U.K., Germany, France and Italy during the 2006-2016 period. More specifically, we study the impact of policy rate and quantitative easing announcements of domestic and foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910263