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Tracking global economic uncertainty : implications for the euro area
Bobasu, Alina; Geis, André; Quaglietti, Lucia; Ricci, … - 2021
This paper sheds light on the impact of global macroeconomic uncertainty on the euro area economy. We build on the methodology proposed by Jurado et al. (2015) and estimate global as well as country-specific measures of economic uncertainty for fifteen key euro area trade partners and the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503567
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Asymmetric semi-volatility spillover effects in EMU stock markets
Caloia, Francesco Giuseppe; Cipollini, Andrea; … - In: International review of financial analysis 57 (2018), pp. 221-230
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012006352
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Uncovered interest rate, overshooting, and predictability reversal puzzles in an emerging economy
Kiliç, Rehim - 2023 - This draft: August 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490739
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Efficiency gains, bounds, and risk in finance
Sarisoy, Çisil - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405147
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A high-low model of daily stock price ranges
Cheung, Stephen Y. L. (contributor);  … - 2008
volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749656
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Does money growth predict inflation? : evidence from vector autoregressions using four centuries of data
Edvinsson, Rodney; Karlsson, Sune; Österholm, Pär - 2023
estimation methods. Specifically, we employ VAR models with drifting parameters and stochastic volatility which are used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233967
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Measuring market expectations
Baumeister, Christiane - 2021
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
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Volatility forecasting in European government bond markets
Özbekler, Ali Gencay; Kontonikas, Alexandros; … - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 4, pp. 1691-1709
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013274332
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The role of monetary policy uncertainty in predicting equity market volatility of the United Kingdom : evidence from over 150 years of data
Gupta, Rangan; Wohar, Mark E. - In: Economics and Business Letters : EBL 8 (2019) 3, pp. 138-146
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156567
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The decline in asset return predictability and macroeconomic volatility
Hsu, Alex; Palomino, Francisco; Qian, Charles - 2017
We document strong U.S. stock and bond return predictability from several macroeconomic volatility series before 1982 … policy and shocks with time-varying volatility. The decline is consistent with changes in both policy and shock dynamics …. While an increase in the response to inflation in the interest-rate policy rule decreases volatility, more persistent and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709322