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generally find that deflation terms contributes negatively to such a premium and inflation positively. The magnitudes of the … coefficients associated with deflation tend to be greater, compared to those associated with inflation. This suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165922
inflation in the euro area. As far as real rates are concerned, we find that they are not affected by macroeconomic surprises in … the United States, but they are by surprises in inflation and monetary policy in the euro area. Inflation expectations in … both areas are not systematically influenced by monetary policy surprises. In the United States forward inflation risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072623
This paper estimates Inflation risk premia in the Euro area based on nominal swap yields, inflation swap rates, CPI and … conclude that inflation risk premia is insignificant, where a model including surveys will that it significant. Finally our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156985
government bonds to derive expected inflation rates and the corresponding inflation risk premia, in the euro area and in the … factors and one inflation factor; the model provides substantial information related to expected inflation and inflation risk … market and economic outlook in the United States and by news on inflation in the euro area; this preliminary results can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120560
On 4 March 2011, SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum and the National Bank of Poland jointly organised a conference on the theme of: "Monetary Policy after the Crisis". Following a call for papers with a large number of submissions, the scientific committee selected 9 papers, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710723
yields' fluctuations and highlight the roles of a tight monetary policy stance and expectations of lower inflation in … negative inflation slope points to higher odds of a recession within a year. An aggressive removal of policy accommodation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013279282
We assess the determinants of sovereign bond yield spreads in the period 1999-2016, considering non-conventional monetary policy measures in the Euro area. We use a 2-step approach: i) confirm (by means of model selection methods) and estimate (by means of panel techniques) the determinants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941802
4207 This paper investigates the impact of European Central Bank's unconventional monetary policies between 2008-2016 on the government bond yields of eight European Monetary Union countries and up to eleven different maturities. In identifying this impact, it adopts a novel econometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147209
and implied volatility of T-bonds and survey forecasts of GDP growth and inflation. We find relatively stable inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877284
, premium components are less reactive to inflation shocks, while real rate responses change their sign from positive to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222610