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link between monetary policy rate uncertainty and equity return volatility, both in theory and data. This paper uses … for equity variance and volatility at weekly, monthly and even quarterly horizons. The findings imply that market views of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925787
In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a … vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant and asymmetric response of stock returns and volatility to … monetary policy shocks. Although the increase in the volatility risk premium, futures-trading volume, and leverage appear to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012665261
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012006352
This paper investigates the impact of monetary policy surprises by the FED or Bundesbank/ECB on the return volatility … of German stocks and bonds using a GARCH-M model. We show that stock return volatility is susceptible to monetary policy … surprises in the United States, whereas monetary policy surprises in the Euro zone matter for bond return volatility. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142117
addition, our model suggests that optimal monetary policy is not concerned with stock price volatility, does not attempt to …, producing lower inflation volatility when compared to the constant money supply policy rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091822
We compare real-time density forecasts for the euro area using three DSGE models. The benchmark is the Smets-Wouters model and its forecasts of real GDP growth and inflation are compared with those from two extensions. The first adds financial frictions and expands the observables to include a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011813503
This paper compares within-sample and out-of-sample fit of a DSGE model with rational expectations to a model with adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real-time euro area data vintages, covering 2001Q1-2019Q4. The adaptive learning model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492913
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500112
In this paper, we challenge the traditional assumption of a linear relationship between exchange rate volatility and … volatility positively and significantly influences economic growth when growth in government spending is below 6 percent. Above … this 6 percent threshold, volatility exerts an insignificant effect on economic growth. In light of the adoption of a free …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870188