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We analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, we analyze the dynamics of co-movement at different levels of aggregation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987786
The authors analyze cyclical co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and long-term interest rates across 17 advanced economies. Using a time-varying multi-level dynamic factor model and more than 130 years of data, they analyze the dynamics of co-movement and compare recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992406
With the aim to provide a detailed understanding of global financial cycles and their relevance over time, we analyse co-movement in credit, house prices, equity prices, and interest rates across 17 advanced economies over 130 years. Using a time-varying dynamic factor model, we observe global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832636
This paper investigates the impact of monetary policy surprises by the FED or Bundesbank/ECB on the return volatility … of German stocks and bonds using a GARCH-M model. We show that stock return volatility is susceptible to monetary policy … surprises in the United States, whereas monetary policy surprises in the Euro zone matter for bond return volatility. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142117
This paper documents the impact of U.S. monetary policy announcement surprises on equity indexes in sixteen countries, covering both developed and emerging economies. Using high-frequency intraday data, I find a large and significant response of Asian, European, and Latin American equity indexes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061499
This paper uses monthly data from April 2005 to August 2013 for Taiwan to propose a novel tourism indicator, namely the Tourism Conditions Index (TCI). TCI accounts for the spillover weights based on the Granger causality test and estimates of the multivariate BEKK model for four TCI indicators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010227695
We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305726
This paper investigates the return and volatility responses of major European and the US equity indices to monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146584
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011488597
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167220