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We study the macroeconomic effects of the COVID-19 epidemic in a quantitative dynamic general equilibrium setup with nominal rigidities. We evaluate various containment policies and show that they allow to dramatically reduce the welfare cost of the disease. Then we investigate the role that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013298753
This paper reports a two-stage analysis of inflation persistence using monthly data from 11 IT countries and, for … comparison, the US, a non IT country with a history of credible monetary policy. First, we estimate inflation persistence in a … inflation persistence. We use the sequences of estimated persistence measures from the first stage as dependent variables in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972821
We argue that the Great Inflation experienced by both the United Kingdom and the United States in the 1970s has an … common doctrine underlying the systematic monetary policy choices in each country. The nonmonetary approach to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012718127
This paper conducts a structural analysis of inflation persistence in the United Kingdom between 1965-2009. I allow for … and stochastic shock volatility. The first policy regime responds passively to movements in inflation, adjusting the … other regime responds actively to inflation and places less weight on exchange rate movements. This regime is present for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121979
below the pre-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than … anticipated, suggesting a breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 … find that the effect of unemployment on inflation, for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s but has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936771
-recession trend, suggesting hysteresis. Second, while inflation has decreased, it has decreased less than anticipated, suggesting a … breakdown of the relation between inflation and activity. To examine the first, we look at 122 recessions over the past 50 years … unemployment on inflation,for given expected inflation, decreased until the early 1990s, but has remained roughly stable since then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002151
The ongoing post-pandemic inflation burst has put the monetary policy framework, its governance alternatives, and the … politicized yet independent model of central banking over the past two decades on the inflation burst. The study identifies four … demanding advanced stages of the fight against inflation. It is anticipated that this episode will contribute to complete the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349722
Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and … soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to … developments, the risk of stagflation-a combination of high inflation and sluggish growth-has risen. The recovery from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256317
to match past inflation. However, the present paper proposes a much larger effect by using the job finding rate as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010379902
banking. Germany achieved a high degree of domestic stability and provided safe haven for investors in times of turmoil in the … interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831853