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We study spillover of monetary policy uncertainty shock from the US to other economies with different exchange rate regimes. A surge of monetary policy uncertainty in the US incurs contractionary consequences in other economies and decreases output, consumption, and stock market prices. Such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079948
I study spillovers of US monetary policy to the rest of the world, as well as spillbacks to the US economy in an empirical multi-country model over time. Within the multilateral framework, I distinguish the bilateral effect from the network effects that arise from interactions among recipient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256990
economies, to facilitate multilaterally consistent macrofinancial policy, risk and spillover analysis. This panel dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956470
We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
We study how monetary policy and risk shocks affect asset prices in the US, the euro area, and Japan, differentiating …. Communication shocks from the US spill over to risk in the euro area and vice versa, but traditional US shocks show no spillover … effects to risk. Both monetary policy and communication shocks spill over to stocks, with euro area information spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483035
It is well known that a tightening or easing of the United States' monetary policy affects financial markets in emerging economies. This paper argues that uncertainty about future monetary policy is a separate transmission channel. We focus on the taper tantrum episode in 2013, a period with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546623
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187644
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013546156
This paper develops a structural macroeconometric model of the world economy, disaggregated into forty national economies. This panel dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model features a range of nominal and real rigidities, extensive macrofinancial linkages, and diverse spillover...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040410
I provide evidence of substantial hysteresis (i.e., a situation in which temporary shocks have longrun effects) from monetary shocks on two sources of endogenous growth; human capital and technological adoption. This contribution is the first to test for the presence of this phenomenon in direct...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179301