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Inflation expectations are key determinants of economic activity and are central to the current policy debate about … whether inflation expectations will remain anchored in the face of recent pandemic-related increases in inflation. This paper … inattention when inflation is low. This suggests that there is indeed a risk of an acceleration in the increases in inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168934
This paper analyses the post-pandemic inflation dynamics in Canada using a behavioral macroeconomic model of the Bank …-pandemic inflation can be explained by these simple heuristics and traced back to the lifting of economic restrictions in mid-2020 …, triggering demand-pull inflation. This result suggests that the cost-push inflation in 2021 and beyond actually originated from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014256410
A vast literature has documented how US inflation persistence has fallen in recent decades, but this finding is … difficult to explain in monetary models. Using survey data on inflation expectations, I document a positive co-movement between … that inflation is more persistent in periods of greater forecast sluggishness. My results suggest that changes in firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257236
This paper documents a strong relationship between households’ perceptions about inflation over the past 12 months and … households’ short- and long-term expectations about future inflation. This relationship is strong during periods of high-inflation … but even stronger during low-inflation periods. We establish a causal relationship by implementing a randomized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320795
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011843448
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010439771
The main focus of the present paper is to analyze the impacts of financial policy on inflation rates. The analysis … utilized to reflect the relations between financial policy and inflation. Thus, more lights are shed on the fact that the first … components represented in governmental expenditure and taxation and the dependant variable inflation. The results show that there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107752
Several central banks have adopted inflation targets. The implementation of these targets is flexible; the central … banks aim to meet the target over the long term but allow inflation to deviate from the target in the short-term in order to … ARFIMA model. Under the assumption that the central bankers control the long-run inflation rates, the fractional integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040585
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544696
Inflation touches many areas of law, and the law's response to inflation constitutes a policymaking opportunity in its … superior inflation index does present a daunting legal task. Because courts cannot countermand specific legislative references … brief comparison of inflation with discount rates and purchasing power parity. It then discusses how legal responses to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063287