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This paper presents empirical evidence of the role of financial conditions in China's business cycle. We estimate a Bayesian-VAR for the Chinese economy, incorporating a financial conditions index for China that captures movements across a range of financial variables, including interest rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975616
, through the New Keynesian Phillips Curve, lower inflation. While the proposed model does a good job at matching the observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596318
, through the New Keynesian Phillips Curve, lower inflation. While the proposed model does a good job at matching the observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506731
We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the … shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that expansionary financial shocks temporarily lower inflation. This … during the latest financial crisis. We then explore the transmission channels of financial shocks relevant for inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546785
We investigate the relationship between inflation uncertainty and monetary policy transmission in the U.S. economy … through the external finance premium and the term structure of interest rates appears strongly dependent on inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931106
impact inflation, little crowding out of private expenditure exists, and the multiplier tends to be larger compared to a one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206057
data determine two inflation regimes and find that they are characterized by high and low inflation volatility. We then … exhibit a more substantial and more persistent effect on downstream prices during periods of elevated inflation volatility … effective in State 2. Exogenously differentiating regimes by the level of inflation or the shock size does not reveal state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444690
Counter to the credit channel of monetary transmission, monetary policy tightening induces a rise in lending by two different types of non-bank financial institutions (NBFI): shadow banks and investment funds. A monetary DSGE model is able to replicate the empirical facts when augmented with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011550453
An accommodating monetary policy followed by a sudden increase of the short term interest rate often leads to a bubble burst and to an economic slowdown. Two examples are the Great Depression of 1929 and the Great Recession of 2008. Through the implementation of an Agent Based Model with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509432
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546900