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This paper studies international transmission of U.S. monetary policy shocks to commodity exporters and importers. After first showing empirically that the shocks have stronger effects on commodity exporters than on importers, I then augment a standard three-country model to include commodities....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906361
It is found that over 1999:1-2012:12 China's monetary expansion influences Japan through the effect of China's growth on world commodity prices, increased demand for imports, and exchange rate policy. China's monetary expansion is associated with significant increases in Japan's industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059432
Energy prices have risen sharply as a result of the coronavirus pandemic as well as the Russian attack on Ukraine in February 2022. The resulting consumer price inflation is forcing the European Central Bank (ECB) to act in accordance with its mandate. However, the ECB expresses doubts that it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235028
This study examines whether central banks can combat inflation that is caused by rising energy prices. By using a high-frequency event study and a Structural Vector Autoregression, we find evidence that the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) are capable of doing so by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358550
This study examines whether central banks can combat inflation that is caused by rising energy prices. By using a high-frequency event study and a Structural Vector Autoregression, we find evidence that the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) are capable of doing so by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230113
This paper first shows that, contrary to conventional wisdom, the European Central Bank (ECB) can influence global energy prices. Second, through Lucas critique-robust counterfactual analysis, we uncover that the ECB's ability to affect fast-moving energy prices plays an important role in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632303
We construct a GFAVAR model with newly released global data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas to investigate the drivers of official/policy interest rate. We find that 62% of movement in global official/policy interest rates is attributed to changes in global monetary aggregates (21%), oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018400
Adding contingently convertible debt securities, cocos, in an amount equal to about 3% of tangible assets to the financing mix of financial institutions is a promising reform idea. It would also be inexpensive for these institutions to issue cocos and thus to be prepared to recapitalize and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122066
I propose a simple framework that quantifies the stance of monetary policy as a 'shadow short rate' when the term structure is near the zero lower bound. I demonstrate my framework with a one-factor model applied to Japanese data, including an intuitive economic interpretation of the results,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103621
In a panel data framework applied to Portfolio Distance-to-Default series of corporate sectors in the euro area, this paper evaluates systemic and idiosyncratic determinants of default risk and examines how distress is transferred in and between the financial and corporate sectors since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092536