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Upswing in Europe gains momentum, but unemployment remains high
Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Scheide, Joachim; Schlie, Markus - 1997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000640321
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Constructing a new leading indicator for unemployment from a survey among German employment agencies
Hutter, Christian; Weber, Enzo - 2013
forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA’s regional agencies are asked about their … expectations of future labor market developments. We generate an aggregate unemployment leading indicator that exploits serial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010198066
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Constructing a new leading indicator for unemployment from a survey among German employment agencies
Hutter, Christian; Weber, Enzo - In: Applied economics 47 (2015) 31/33, pp. 3540-3558
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293512
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Markov switching with endogenous number of regimes and leading indicators in a real-time business cycle forecast : conference paper
Theobald, Thomas - 2013
This paper uses several macroeconomic and financial indicators within a Markov Switching (MS) framework to predict the turning points of the business cycle. The presented model is applied to monthly German real-time data covering the recession and the recovery after the financial crisis. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339952
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Business cycle dynamics and firm heterogeneity : evidence for Austria using survey data
Bierbaumer-Polly, Jürgen; Hölzl, Werner - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411732
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Beyond the business climate : regular and supplementary questions in the ifo Business survey
Demmelhuber, Katrin; Sauer, Stefan; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2022
In the monthly ifo Business Survey around 9,000 German companies answer questions about their current business situation, expectations and plans for the near future as well as on other business variables. This paper provides an overview of all regular questions (monthly, quarterly, bi-annually,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013170991
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"In der zweiten Jahreshälfte erwarten wir wieder einen Anstieg der Weltwirtschaft" : sechs Fragen an Christian Dreger
Wittenberg, Erich; Dreger, Christian - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 76 (2009) 1/2, pp. 3
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790266
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Unemployment and stability of inflation : the concept of the NAIRU in an international perspective and an estimation for Germany using business survey data
Franz, Wolfgang; Hofmann, Thomas - 1989
A common method of evaluating the scope for demand expansion is to try to estimate a threshold rate of unemployment … above which policies of demand stimulus are non-inflationary. However, this non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment … popular argument that the NAIRU itself depends on the time-path of previous actual unemployment. This effect has been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620846
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Wirtschaftswachstum stoppt Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit : Prognose für 1994 und 1995
In: Monatsberichte / WIFO, Österreichisches Institut für … 67 (1994) 7, pp. 379-385
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001165829
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World business trends : German economic situtation
In: Intereconomics : review of European economic policy 9 (1974) 5, pp. 163-164
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011588044