An der Schwelle zum neuen Jahrhundert steht die Wirtschaftspolitik vor großen Herausforderungen. Vor dem Hintergrund der Globalisierung, des Wandels zur Dienstleistungsgesellschaft, der Veränderung von demographischen Strukturen und des Übergangs der planwirtschaftlich organisierten...

The problem is to evaluate the likelihood that a country will face a currency or balance of payments crisis over a given horizon. When is it rational for market participants to expect a depreciation of the currency? On the basis of considerable empirical studies we know that in both banking and...

The problem is to evaluate the likelihood that a country will face a currency or balance of payments crisis over a given horizon. When is it rational for market participants to expect a depreciation of the currency? On the basis of considerable empirical studies we know that in both banking and...

In this paper we propose a generalisation of the noise trader transmission mechanism to examine the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rates. Within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model intervention operations are supposed to provide support to either chartist or...