betrachtet. Es zeigt sich, daß eine Reihe von Indikatoren für eine kurzfristige Prognose geeignet sind, daß aber eine Prognose … forecast horizons or for the prediction of turning points …

We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany … indicators. We show that the best set of predictors, within and between categories, changes over time and depends on the forecast …

small set of simple bivariate closed-loop time-series models for the prediction of price inflation and of long- and short …

inflation. We find that sentiment indicators are competitive in providing inflation forecasts against a large set of common …