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Introduction -- Flying High or Flying Low? A Sector Analysis of High ESG and Low ESG Portfolios of US Stocks -- Does ESG Really Matter? A Sector Analysis of ESG and NoESG Portfolios of US Stocks -- Price and Probability – Evidence from the German Takeover Market -- Summary and Conclusion.
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We show analytically under quite general conditions that implied rates of return based on analysts' earnings forecasts are only a downward biased estimator for future expected one-period returns and therefore not suited for computing market risk premia. The extent of this bias is substantial as...
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This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs, are used as indicators of actual beliefs of...
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This paper explores the dynamic relationship between stock market implied credit spreads, CDS spreads, and bond spreads. A general VECM representation is proposed for changes in the three credit spread measures which accounts for zero, one, or two independent cointegration equations, depending...
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