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unterschiedlicher Finanzmarktindikatoren, um die Industrieproduktion in Deutschland vorherzusagen. Die Prognoseeigenschaften, innerhalb …
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We apply a relatively novel leading–lagging (LL) method to four leading and one lagging indexes for industrial production (IP) in Germany. We obtain three sets of results. First, we show that the sentiment-based ifo index performs best in predicting the general changes in IP (−0.596, range...
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