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Estimating the output gap using business survey data : a bivariate structural time series model for the German economy
Flaig, Gebhard; Plötscher, Claudia - In: IFO-Studien : Zeitschrift für empirische … 47 (2001) 2, pp. 221-232
This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order to decompose the observed German GDP-series into trend, cycle and seasonal components. The results show that using the ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001643125
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Estimating the output gap using business survey data : a bivariate structural time series model for the German economy
Flaig, Gebhard; Plötscher, Claudia - 2000
This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order to decompose the observed German GDP-series into trend, cycle and seasonal components. The results show that using the ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001452302
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Forecasting industrial production in Germany : the predictive power of leading indicators
Schlösser, Alexander - 2020
We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany … unterschiedlicher Finanzmarktindikatoren, um die Industrieproduktion in Deutschland vorherzusagen. Die Prognoseeigenschaften, innerhalb …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149544
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Methoden der Konjunkturprognose : e. empir. Unters. mit zeitreihenanalyt. Verfahren
Nowak, Ralf - 1986
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000737903
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New composite indicators and long-term analysis of the business cycle
Cullity, John P. (contributor) - 1988
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000743710
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Business cycle forecasting : tracking time-varying transfer functions
Edlund, Per-Olov; Søgaard, Henning T. - 1991 - January 1991
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000806193
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Analyse des IFO-Konjunkturtests mit Modellen für kategoriale Längsschnittdaten
Morawitz, Bernd - 1989
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000778089
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Zur Qualität von Konjunkturprognosen für Westdeutschland 1976 - 1994
Döpke, Jörg; Langfeldt, Enno - 1995
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000533863
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Konjunkturindikatoren : Fakten, Analysen, Verwendung
Oppenländer, Karl Heinrich (ed.);  … - 1995
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000542020
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Forecasting aggregate demand components with opinions surveys in the four main EC countries : experience with the BUSY model ; internal paper
Biart, Michel; Praet, Peter - 1986
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000692740