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Real-time forecasting of German GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data

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Real-time forecasting of GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data

Schumacher, Christian (contributor); … - 2006

This paper discusses a factor model for estimating monthly GDP using a large number of monthly and quarterly time series in real-time. To take into account the different periodicities of the data and missing observations at the end of the sample, the factors are estimated by applying an EM...