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Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model : an application to the German business cycle
Carstensen, Kai; Heinrich, Markus; Reif, Magnus; … - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 3, pp. 829-850
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496873
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What drives German trend output growth? : a sectoral view
Lehmann, Robert; Zarges, Lara - 2024 - This version: April 23, 2024
In this paper, we outline material and capital linkages across sectors to quantify the role of the German production network in amplifying sectoral dynamics on aggregate trend gross domestic product growth. This allows us to study the impact of sectoral labor input and total factor productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528208
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The decline in German output volatility : a Bayesian analysis
Aßmann, Christian (contributor); Hogrefe, Jens (contributor) - 2006
Empirical evidence suggests a sharp volatility decline of the growth in U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) in the mid-1980s. Using Bayesian methods, we analyze whether a volatility reduction can also be detected for the German GDP. Since statistical inference for volatility processes critically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003281889
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The decline in German output volatility : a Bayesian analysis
Aßmann, Christian; Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Liesenfeld, Roman - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 37 (2009) 3, pp. 653-679
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003900979
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Ecarts conjoncturels et croissance dans six économies de l'OCDE
Château, Jean - In: Economie & prévision : EP (1994), pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001167650
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Econometric Analyses with Backdated Data : Unified Germany and the Euro Area
Angelini, Elena; Marcellino, Massimiliano Giuseppe - 2021
In this paper we compare alternative approaches for the construction of time series of macroeconomic variables for Unified Germany prior to 1991, and then use them for the construction of corresponding time series for the euro area. The resulting series for Germany and the euro area are compared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317098
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Weltwirtschaft: Erholung setzt sich fort, aber mit geringerem Tempo
In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 77 (2010) 39, pp. 3-10
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008659806
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Explaining happiness trends in Europe
Easterlin, Richard A.; O'Connor, Kelsey J. - 2023
In Europe differences among countries in the overall change in happiness since the early 1980s have been due chiefly to the generosity of welfare state programs - increasing happiness going with increasing generosity and declining happiness with declining generosity. This is the principal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013502264
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Schattenwirtschaft und Messung des Wirtschaftswachstums
Braakmann, Albert - 2004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002113575
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Schattenwirtschaft und Messung des Wirtschaftswachstums
Braakmann, Albert - In: Schattenwirtschaft und Messung des Wirtschaftswachstums. 2004
Trägt die Schattenwirtschaft auch zum Wirtschaftswachstum bei ist eine häufig gestellte Fragen, die hier beleuchtet … werden soll. Das Wirtschaftswachstum wird üblicherweise anhand der Veränderungsrate des Bruttoinlandsproduktes gemessen … Bruttoinlandsprodukt näher beschrieben. Ausführungen zur Problematik einer getrennten Schätzung der Schattenwirtschaft runden den Beitrag …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011540788