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Population aging will be a major determinant of long-run economic development in industrial and developing countries. The extent of the demographic changes is dramatic in some countries and will deeply affect future labor, financial and goods markets. The expected strain on public budgets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003901593
In the discussion about demographic change, the regional dimension so far has played a subordinate role. Based on municipal data for the period between 1998 and 2008, this paper examines to what extent recent demographic change has affected the population of cities and neighbourhoods, focusing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579281
Die Arbeit untersucht die Faktoren, von denen das künftige Arbeitskräfteangebot beeinflusst wird. Die Veränderung des sog. Erwerbspersonenpotenzials wird dazu in die Haupteinflussfaktoren Demografie im engeren Sinne (natürliche Bevölkerungsbewegung einschließlich der Alterung), Wanderungen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009545074
This paper investigates the long-run relationships between the size and age composition of a city's population and the price of local housing. For estimation purposes, we combine city-level demographic information with housing price data for 87 cities in Germany over the period 1995-2012....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010510612
We quantify the development of the potential labour force in Germany from 2014 to 2050 and pose the question as to which extent migration will be able to offset the well-known negative demographic influence. The mean overall results of this long period of time show that while migration may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011427859
Two stylised facts of the German labour market are that first, the demand for highskilled labour has been growing rapidly for a number of years and second, the country is facing a particularly strong demographic change with the expected size of the population decreasing rapidly and the average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011429530
In recent years demographic aging and its consequences have been recognized and discussed on macroeconomic levels, such as health care system, infrastructure, housing and labour market. However, the consequences are not only present on the macroeconomic level but also affect microeconomic issues...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010230937
In Germany, as in many other European countries, there will be a shift in the workforce age structure in the next decades. The number of older workers will increase, and the number of younger and middle aged workers will decline. This paper provides evidence how the shift in the relative labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517710
Two stylised facts of the German labour market are that first, the demand for (high-)skilled labour has been growing rapidly for a number of years and second, the country is facing a particularly strong demographic change with the expected size of the population decreasing rapidly and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011537958
We analyze the relation between population aging and the decline of unemployment in East Germany for the years from 1996 to 2012. To this we scrutinize both a direct and an indirect effect of aging on unemployment. The direct effect includes a decomposition of the East German unemployment rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437782