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McCallum (1994a) proposes a monetary rule where policymakers have some tendency to resist rapid changes in exchange rates to explain the forward premium puzzle. We estimate this monetary policy reaction function within the framework of an affine term structure model to find that, contrary to...
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We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions … tests of expectations theory this implication only requires rational expectations but not stationary risk premia. Therefore …, its empirical test sheds new light on the importance of expectations theory for the determinants of the term structure of …
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zwischen geldpolitisch bestimmten Zinsen und längerfristigen Zinsen in den USA und in Deutschland an. Unsere Ergebnisse deuten … USA als auch in Deutschland, allerdings in nicht-linearer und komplexer Form. Drittens schlussfolgern wir, indem wir eine … Instrument der Geldpolitik suboptimal ist. …
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