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Konjunkturchronik für Deutschland entwickelt, die dem klassischen Ansatz zur Identifizierung von Zyklen in Niveaudaten folgt. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003551254
To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2020, thereby improving the regional database in Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013173579
To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2021, thereby improving the regional database for Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549105
We discuss properties of alternatives or complements to GDP as a measure of welfare at business cycle frequencies. We argue that these figures are not useful to measure the welfare costs of business cycles. First, data is not available at an appropriate quality and frequency. Second, since the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480242
This paper analyzes which factors are driving the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment. Using the results of a poll among survey participants as well as Granger causality tests we identify three groups of influence factors: other sentiment indicators, financial variables and real economy data. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297299
We analyze four economic sentiment indicators for the German economy regarding their ability to forecast economic activity. Using cross correlations and Granger causality tests we find that the ifo business expectations (ifo), the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and the ZEW Indicator of Economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297904
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003324956
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003325911
This paper compares the German Gross Domestic Product between 1991 and 2008 with the Ifo business indicators. Because GDP is published quarterly but the Ifo indicators monthly, the most analyses compare these variables by merging the indicators to quarterly data. In this paper an alternative way...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008859474
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581947