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This paper deals with the estimation of employment equations for Germany, which are to be used for forecasting and simulation purposes. The authors estimate both single and system error correction equations for German working hours using quarterly raw data covering the period 1980:1-2004:2....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460436
This study focuses on the economic effects of the phenomenon of the electrification of powertrains in passenger cars (e-mobility). The automotive industry is one of the leading sectors in Germany and the country is one of the world's leading car producers. Therefore the economic impact could be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111676
Most Continental European labour markets and welfare states underwent a substantial transformation over the last two decades moving from a situation of low employment and limited labour market inequality to higher employment, but also more inequality. Germany is a case in point as it exhibits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283946
This paper deals with the estimation of employment equations for Germany, which are to be used for forecasting and simulation purposes. The authors estimate both single and system error correction equations for German working hours using quarterly raw data covering the period 1980:1-2004:2....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005764576
Using a macroeconometric model we simulate different scenarios for alternative wage and monetary policies and their effects on macroeconomic performance in Germany. First, ex post scenarios for the period from 1991 until 2000 are simulated, and then ex ante scenarios for the period from 2001...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008536844
In this paper, we present a review of various computational experiments – and consequent results – concerning Neural Network (NN) models developed for regional employment forecasting. NNs are widely used in several fields because of their flexible specification structure. Their utilization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113157
In this paper, we study the predictive power of electricity consumption data for regional economic activity. Using unique weekly and monthly electricity consumption data for the second-largest German state, the Free State of Bavaria, we conduct a pseudo out-of-sample forecasting experiment for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077188
This paper shows that demographic change plays an important role in the formation of a country's net foreign asset position. An ageing population both lowers the demand and increases the supply of capital in an economy. Fewer workers reduce the required capital stock. As a longer life span leads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250723
The accuracy of macroeconomic forecast depends on various factors, most importantly the mix of analytical methods used by the individual forecasters, the way that their personal experience is shaping their identification strategies, but also their efficiency in translating new information into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136127
Using a panel of 439 German regions we evaluate and compare the performance of various Neural Network (NN) models as forecasting tools for regional employment growth. Because of relevant differences in data availability between the former East and West Germany, the NN models are computed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138060