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, we show that this kind of model performs well in simulation experiments. Focusing upon producers' expectations in the …In modeling expectation formation, economic agents are usually viewed as forming expectations adaptively or in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009447863
This study uses prices for the German 3 percent imperial loan issued in several tranches since 1890 and still traded during World War I to measure capital market players' real-time perceptions of the prospects for Germany as the war proceeded. Price data are gathered from the Amsterdam market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012669402
and expectations and whether they are more constraining for students from socially less advantaged backgrounds. It does so … expectations and institutional data on admission barriers that vary by field of study. Findings indicate that the socially most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448512
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should intervene in the business cycle. Following Ramey (2011b), we include expectations held by consumers and firms into the … findings also underscore the need to account for expectations, as failing to do so leads to significant misinterpretation of …
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decades has there been such a broad shift in inflation perception, and therefore, possibly, in inflation expectations. Also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938935
This paper provides a new perspective on the exchange rate disconnect puzzle by referring to the expectations building … mechanism in foreign exchange markets. We analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for expected … expectations regarding GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and current accounts. Our empirical findings show that fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990178