This paper analyses whether and since when East and West German business cycles are synchronised. We investigate real GDP, unemployment rates and survey data as business cycle indicators and employ several empirical methods. Overall, we find that the regional business cycles have synchronised...

The production index is an important indicator for assessing the cyclical state of the economy. Unfortunately, the monthly time series is contaminated by many noisy components like seasonal variations, calendar and vacation effects. Only part of those nuisance components are explicitly...

Das Papier zeigt, dass die Verteilung der regionalen Arbeitslosenquoten in Deutschland stark persistentes Verhalten aufweist. Außerdem zeigen panel unit root tests und autoregressive modelle mit fixen Effekten, dass regionale Arbeitslosenquoten eher bedingter als unbedingter Konvergenz folgen....

Die Ergebnisse der Anpassung nach Arbeitsnachfrageschocks am Arbeitsort für Bundesländer und Kreise nach dem Modell von Blanchard/Katz (1992) entsprechen den Ergebnissen aus anderen Studien in diesem Bereich. Sie zeigen, dass die Anpassung auf regionsspezifische Schocks im Jahr des Schocks...

Die Studie untersucht Veränderungen der Arbeitslosenquote in westdeutschen Kreisen im Zeitraum 1992-2004 mit Hilfe der Chain Reaction Theory of unemployment (CRT). Die Schätzungen zeigen, dass sowohl Anpassungsprozesse als auch exogene Schocks für die Veränderungen verantwortlich waren....

This paper examines regional effects of the InnoRegio program, which was conducted by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research. The InnoRegio program has been a new tool of innovation policy with the aim to improve innovativeness in East Germany on the basis of prosperous regional...

Economic forecasts are an important element of rational economic policy both on the federal and on the local or regional level. Solid budgetary plans for government expenditures and revenues rely on efficient macroeconomic projections. However, official data on quarterly regional GDP in Germany...

We analyze whether start-up rates in different industries systematically change with business cycle variables. Using a unique data set at the industry level, we mostly find correlations that are consistent with counter-cyclical influences of the business cycle on entries in both innovative and...

To date, only annual information on economic activity is published for the 16 German states. In this paper, we calculate quarterly regional GDP estimates for the period between 1995 to 2020, thereby improving the regional database in Germany. The new data set will regularly be updated when...

We analyze whether start-up rates in different industries systematically change with business cycle variables. Using a unique data set at the industry level, we mostly find correlations that are consistent with counter-cyclical influences of the business cycle on entries in both innovative and...